It’s Crazy That People Are Criticizing House Managers Over No Witnesses

It’s not hard to predict exactly what the Republicans wanted to do with a two week extension and a parade of witnesses, including Speaker Pelosi. What benefit would there be to allowing the co-conspirators of Trump to continue to spread lies and prop up their dear leader?

The evidence that was presented by the House Managers couldn’t’ be more clear and anyone that is unable to see that is purposely looking away. The Republicans tried a few times to derail the proceedings with shenanigans, but the House Managers smartly avoided them.

COVID RELIEF is what needs to happen now, not political theater by the insurrection caucus. Does anyone think it would change even one more Republican Senator’s vote?

The “Stupid Years” Have Come To An End

On the night the Trump was elected in 2016, I turned off cable news and most other news sources and decided that I wasn’t going to let Trump dictate my daily life. I refused to be outraged and angry every day, which is what he wanted. “Owning the libs” has become the guiding principle of the Republican Party, along with white nationalism.

I think the GOP should change the name of their party to the “Bootlicker Party”. The last four years have shown us just how authoritarian they are. They can’t seem to win the popular vote in a presidential election so they followed along with Trump as he tried to take it by any means necessary.

So now that the “Stupid Years” are over, I might post my thoughts on here again to spare my friends and family from too many rants. Enjoy this picture of my eagle friend near the university where I work. As usual, my photos are public domain and you can feel free to grad them and use them.

Clinton Beating Sanders Nationally By 9 Points In Latest Poll – Feb. 23, 2016

If you were watching CNN this morning, you may have seen Bernie Sanders campaign manager, Jeff Weaver, citing a new Reuters poll that he claims shows Bernie Sanders leading Hillary Clinton by 6 points. My first reaction to any poll is to go look at the methodology and the full results. My graduate degree was in communications research. I found the following, which was quite odd and had no explanation.

reutersgraphicWhat in the hell is the category “wouldn’t vote?” I’ve heard of undecided before, but wouldn’t vote? I attempted to dig down in the numbers but could only play around with the filters that let you look at demographic information. Bob Cesca at The Daily Banter had something on this and the fishy results…

Notice that just below the chart, there’s a series of drop-down menus where you can select various demographic filters to narrow the results of the poll. If you choose the standard parameters normally applied in respectable polling results from the “Political” menu, specifically party affiliation and voter registration status, Reuters shows an almost-tied race, with Hillary narrowly leading Bernie.

In other words, among registered Democrats, Hillary is winning by a couple tenths of a percentage point. Still good news for Bernie to be this close.

But here’s where the everything falls apart for Bernie supporters. If we choose the most accurate sample from the Political drop-down menu, specifically “likely Democratic primary voters,” Hillary leads by seven points. Again, it’s less positive news for Bernie and his supporters, but it’s still noteworthy that he’s closed such a wide gap against Hillary. That said, it’s obviously not the runaway shock poll some sites are ballyhooing today.

Personally, I like to use FiveThirtyEight.com for my polling fixes. Whenever I see a breathless reporter or anchor pushing results of a “new poll”, I head over to Nate’s place and see what he has. If you don’t know about Nate, Google him, he knows what he is doing.

What I found at FiveThirtyEight.com was a bit different than the Reuters poll. Nate’s site lead me to the latest NBC News poll which has Clinton leading Sanders by 9 points.

Data from the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll conducted online from Feb 15-21 shows that nationally, Clinton maintains a double-digit lead over Sanders among black voters — 65 percent to 22 percent. She also maintains her overall national lead 51 percent to 40 percent.

I am still determined to find the full results of the Reuters poll, but my attempts so far have turned up nothing. That is suspicious to me, if a firm hides their methodology, it is a major red flag. I’m off to Google some more.